Saturday, February 24, 2018

$100,000 Franklin Square – Aqueduct

Race 3 (Saturday, February 24, 2018: 1:50 p.m./ET; 10:50 a.m./PT)

Six furlongs on the main track (three-year-old New York-bred fillies)

The Franklin Square, a New York-bred stake for three-year-old fillies, gets to showcase runners sired by relatively new New York stallions TRINNIBERG, TEUFLESBERG, and EMCEE. Let’s take a look at each runner in the field and try to come up with a winner:

#1 VELVET TRINNI broke her maiden last time out, defeating eight other runners in a maiden $40K claimer for New-York bred fillies. Even though this daughter of TRINNIBERG just recently picked up her first career win, she ran fifth in a stake two starts ago to #5 AUNT BABE, who finished almost five lengths ahead of this gal. An exotics placing appears to be her ceiling unless she takes a major step forward.

#2 PAUSEFORTHECAUSE was beaten two lengths in her most recent start, an allowance optional claiming event. That said, she encountered some trouble in the race, stumbling at the start before getting bumped around at the eighth pole. In with a chance for trainer Kiaran McLaughlin, who is hitting at a 31% win clip this Aqueduct Winter meet.

#3 TRINNI NINJA is a maiden facing winners. After finishing second in a New York-bred maiden special weight at 115/1, this gal ran fourth, beaten nine lengths, in the East View Stakes. Outclassed. 

#4 BEAUTIFUL BUZZ broke her maiden stylishly in her career debut and crossed the wire second in an allowance optional claiming event last month, which was her most recent afternoon appearance. Both career runs were solid. One to consider.

#5 AUNT BABE won the New York Stallion Series Stakes at 39/1 in December before finishing eighteen lengths behind the winner in a stake last month. That most recent poor effort came routing, so maybe this filly just wants to sprint. Five career starts to her name with two wins and three off the board finishes designates an inconsistent filly.

#6 MY ROXY GIRL cuts back in distance after a neck win against open starter allowance company at Aqueduct. She loves the Aqueduct dirt, too, having won three races from five career starts over the surface. Good enough to be competitive with her best effort.

 

SELECTIONS

  1. #6 MY ROXY GIRL – Loves AQU.
  2. #2 PAUSEFORTHECAUSE – Troubled trip last time.
  3. #4 BEAUTIFUL BUZZ – Consistent runner merits respect.

LONGSHOT VALUE PLAY- #5 AUNT BABE – Only stake winner in the field.

WAGERING STRATEGY

I’ll box my top three picks in exactas as well as make a straight win bet on my top choice.

BANKROLL PLAY ($50 Budget)

$20 Win: #6 MY ROXY GIRL

$5 Exacta Box: #2 PAUSEFORTHECAUSE and #4 BEAUTIFUL BUZZ and #6 MY ROXY GIRL ($30).

(Bankroll at -$184.00 after 2018 Week #2 Based on $50 Wagers; -$70.00 last Newsletter).

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

The post $100,000 Franklin Square – Aqueduct appeared first on TVG - HORSE RACING INSIDER BLOG.

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